100 Thieves#2 in the r6tv Team RatingvsStarts in 12h 38m
Cloud9#21 in the r6tv Team Rating
Past matches
100 Thieves form
3-match win streak
M802–1Oct 16Watch 2D replayWinCloud92–0Oct 15Watch 2D replayWin
Shopify Rebellion2–0Oct 8Watch 2D replayLossM800–1Oct 2Watch 2D replayWin
For Fun Esports1–0Oct 1Watch 2D replay100 Thieves team pageCloud9 form
Form beforeM801–2Oct 16Watch 2D replayLoss100 Thieves0–2Oct 15Watch 2D replayWin
DarkZero2–0Oct 8Watch 2D replayWin
Wildcard1–0Oct 2Watch 2D replayLoss
Spacestation Gaming0–1Oct 1Watch 2D replayCloud9 team pageHead to head
Tier 1, 3 meetings- Series
- 12100 Thieves 1, Cloud9 2
- Maps
- 22100 Thieves 2, Cloud9 2
- Rounds
- 1819100 Thieves 18, Cloud9 19
100 Thieves won
North America League Stage 22–0Oct 15Cloud9 wonNorth America League Stage 20–1Sep 9Cloud9 won
North America League Stage 10–1Jun 12Comparison
Estimate
- Even
- Slight edge
- Edge
- Clear edge
- Strong edge
55–65% win chance for 100 Thieves
- Rating 100 Thieves #2, Cloud9 #21 in the r6tv Rating100 Thieves is ahead
- Form Last 10 series: 100 Thieves 8–2, Cloud9 7–3Even no side is ahead
How it works
The estimate is a rating model built from every Tier 1 map in the library since March 2026. Each region starts from its Six Invitational 2026 results and shifts after maps against other regions.
The range shows how far the answer moves when the model settings change (36 variations), rounded to 5 points and never narrower than 10. The real uncertainty is larger.
Steps by favourite share: Even below 55%, Slight edge from 55%, Edge from 62%, Clear edge from 70%, Strong edge from 80%.
Checked on past series: over 788 series the model picked the winner 69% of the time. League series 70% (Brier score 0.208), international events 63% (Brier score 0.227); a coin toss scores 0.250. At international events the model is only slightly better than a coin toss.
Players, roster changes, map vetoes and form on the day are not part of the estimate.
Estimate from past results. Not betting advice.
Team comparison
| 100 Thieves | Cloud9 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100 Thieves#2Better52.40 points | r6tv Rating | Cloud9#212 places up since yesterday16.26 points |
100 Thieves
| Placings this season | Cloud9
|
| 100 Thieves8–2 in last 10 | Formlatest | Cloud97–3 in last 10 |
| 100 Thieves22 days | Days since the last series | Cloud922 days |
| 100 ThievesEPS 107BetterKPR 0.77, KOST 67% | Players, top five by rounds | Cloud9EPS 101KPR 0.73, KOST 64% |
Common opponents
| 100 Thieves | Cloud9 | |
|---|---|---|
| M80 | 100 Thieves1–4maps 2–6 | Cloud91–3maps 2–5 |
| Shopify Rebellion | 100 Thieves3–2maps 4–3 | Cloud91–1maps 1–1 |
| DarkZero | 100 Thieves0–2maps 0–2 | Cloud92–2maps 3–2 |
| For Fun Esports | 100 Thieves3–1maps 4–1 | Cloud91–1maps 1–1 |
| Spacestation Gaming | 100 Thieves2–0maps 2–0 | Cloud90–4maps 0–5 |
| Five Fears | 100 Thieves2–1maps 2–1 | Cloud92–0maps 2–0 |
Maps
Map pool
Last 10 Tier 1 series| Map | 100 Thieves10 of 10 series with veto | Cloud910 of 10 series with veto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ban | Pick | Maps | Ban | Pick | Maps | |
| Bank | 50% | 0% | 1–0 | 100% | 0% | —No data |
| NightHaven Labs | 100% | 0% | —No data | 30% | 0% | —No data |
| Kafe Dostoyevsky | 30% | 10% | 3–0 | 80% | 0% | 0–2 |
| Clubhouse | 70% | 10% | 1–0 | 30% | 0% | 1–1 |
| Border | 20% | 0% | 1–1 | 80% | 0% | 1–0 |
| Fortress | 40% | 0% | 1–1 | 10% | 10% | 2–1 |
| Lair | 20% | 10% | 2–0 | 20% | 0% | 1–0 |
| Chalet | 20% | 0% | 1–1 | 10% | 10% | 1–1 |
| Villa | 20% | 0% | 1–0 | 10% | 10% | 3–0 |
Attack and defense
Rounds won, last 10 Tier 1 series| Map | 100 Thieves | Cloud9 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attack | Defense | Attack | Defense | |
| Bank | 75% | 67% | —No data | —No data |
| Kafe Dostoyevsky | 77% | 65% | 40% | 33% |
| Clubhouse | 43% | 71% | 75% | 31% |
| Border | 50% | 50% | 43% | 62% |
| Fortress | 46% | 40% | 59% | 50% |
| Lair | 78% | 64% | 40% | 83% |
| Chalet | 75% | 38% | 50% | 33% |
| Villa | 100% | 100% | 58% | 78% |
